NBC's Final Poll Puts Trump at 60 Percent Disapproval Two Days Before the Midterms

Two days before voters decide control of the House and Senate, NBC News released its final pre-election poll on Sunday. President Trump's approval stands at 40 percent and his disapproval at 60 percent. According to Rollingout's summary of the poll, that is the highest disapproval in NBC polling across his two terms.

On the question of which party should control Congress, registered voters chose Democrats 52 percent to 45 percent. The survey covered 1,000 registered voters. Steve Kornacki, NBC's political analyst, presented the results on Sunday's "Meet the Press" with host Kristen Welker, and said voters' economic dissatisfaction is the underlying driver.

A Pocketbook Mood Worse Than 2018

According to the Daily Caller, which covered the broadcast, 73 percent of respondents said they were dissatisfied with the effects of the affordability crisis. On personal finances, 49 percent were satisfied and 51 percent dissatisfied. Kornacki said that is the first time in more than 30 years of NBC polling that a majority has reported dissatisfaction with their own finances.

He compared it with the last midterm under Trump. In 2018, he said, nearly 70 percent were satisfied with the economy on the eve of the vote, and "in 2018 the economy was his strong suit." His summary of today was brief: "Total opposite right now."

Kornacki said Republicans led on inflation by about 20 points a couple of years ago, when Trump returned to office. In the Daily Caller's account of his presentation, Democrats now hold a 1-point edge on which party would handle inflation better and a 2-point edge on the economy.

Cracks Inside the Coalition

The president's base is still with him. According to the Daily Caller and Rollingout, he has 93 percent approval among MAGA Republicans. Among Republicans who do not identify with MAGA, he stands at 54 percent approval and 46 percent disapproval, and 20 percent of them prefer a Democratic Congress. Net approval among white voters without college degrees is down 18 points since the first NBC poll of his second term in 2025, with declines also among young and Latino voters, according to the poll's published summary.

Rollingout also reported that the Democratic lead is up 2 points from last month and includes a 21-point advantage among independents. It said half of respondents want "a great deal of change," a new NBC high. Republicans are split on the country's direction, 48 percent right track to 43 percent wrong track. A year ago the split was 75 to 24.

Republicans do keep some ground. The poll's summary says voters trust the GOP on government corruption by 5 points, and the Daily Caller reported Republicans were favored on immigration. It said Democrats were favored on the Iran war.

The Democrats' Own Problem

The opposition is not exactly loved either. The Daily Caller reported that Democrats have a 29 percent favorable rating as a party, and that Republican favorability is about where it was in 2018. The notes on the 2018 comparison figures are unverified. On "Meet the Press," Kornacki put it plainly: "Republicans are not popular." He also questioned the Democrats' own standing, asking whether the party has more baggage now. That is an open question, not a finding.

Other polling points the same way. A PBS/NPR/Marist poll released October 27 showed Democrats ahead by 8 points among likely voters, according to Rollingout.

Voters go to the polls Tuesday, November 3, with control of both chambers at stake, and returns will start coming in that evening. By Wednesday it will be clear whether Sunday's numbers carried through to the voting booth.